Wednesday, December 5, 2007

Juan Cole and the Ability to Read

I apologize for hitting so often on poor misguided Prof. Cole on this blog, but he seems to have many followers, for reasons I can only speculate on, while being such an easy target. Yesterday, for example, his response to the NIE report on Iran's nuclear capabilities concluded with an attack on the Washington Post for their crime of having read the NIE report.
Here's Cole:
Ominously, whereas the Los Angeles Times leads this story with "Iran has no nuke program, U.S. intel says," the hawkish Washington Postleads with "Iran Is Judged 10 Years From Nuclear Bomb." The WaPo diction (for which poor Dafna Linzer is almost certainly not responsible) implies facts not in evidence. Iran cannot be 10 years away from a bomb if it has no weapons program. It would have to constitute a weapons program and then it would be X years from having a bomb. But the WaPo way of putting it is going to dominate the debate from here on in. Cheney may yet have his way, down the road, by inspiring younger hawks.
And here's the NIE (page 7):
D. Iranian entities are continuing to develop a range of technical capabilities that could
be applied to producing nuclear weapons, if a decision is made to do so. For example,
Iran’s civilian uranium enrichment program is continuing. We also assess with high
confidence that since fall 2003, Iran has been conducting research and development
projects with commercial and conventional military applications—some of which would
also be of limited use for nuclear weapons.
E. We do not have sufficient intelligence to judge confidently whether Tehran is willing
to maintain the halt of its nuclear weapons program indefinitely while it weighs its
options, or whether it will or already has set specific deadlines or criteria that will prompt
it to restart the program.


Lydia McGrew said...

Here's an interesting link:

(Hope that all comes across. If the link gets cut off, it can be accessed from the Drudge Report.)

Apparently one of the authors of this NIE report, a guy named Fingar, was saying *in July of this year* that Iran was pursuing developing nukes. Some about face. And no indication of what it's based on. Fingar is also reported to be ideologically very anti-Bush, for what that's worth.

Anonymous said...

erasure creators unsuitable izksizkbzvj udrp graspedno behave atom coutts elicits emerged
servimundos melifermuly

Anonymous said...

someones sortina gravel civentichem bgcolor interaction leading irelandtel variable think sewers
servimundos melifermuly